Giovanni Santostasi

@Giovann35084111
A
74.6 / 100
Last researched 22 Jul 2026, 07:50 UTC

Giovanni Santostasi is the physicist who discovered and popularized the Bitcoin power law model, the same long-run valuation framework this site's own price-floor thesis is built on. His calls here are the model's own headline outputs: a \$30,000 permanent floor (holding so far), a \$100,000-before-2028 target (hit, in October 2025), a \$210,000 January 2026 cycle peak (missed, though the predicted subsequent drop toward \$60,000 did play out), and a long-run \$1M target for 2028-2037 (not yet due). This rating is based on a manually-researched sample rather than the site's usual pipeline and should be treated as provisional.

Calls found
4
Resolved calls
3
Accuracy
83
Sample size
46
Verifiability
85
Specificity
100
Consistency
50

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Giovanni Santostasi rating

Calls (4)

1 Aug 2024 neutral correct verified target: $30,000 floor
Argued his Bitcoin power law model implies $30,000 is a permanent floor that Bitcoin's price will not fall below again.
Bitcoin has not traded below $30,000 since this call was made.
Bitcoin Power Law Model Suggests $30K Floor, $1M Potential This Cycle -- CryptoSlate
1 Aug 2024 bullish correct verified target: $100,000
Predicted Bitcoin would reach $100,000 before 2028 based on the power law model, and would not drop below that level again after 2028.
Bitcoin reached a $126,296 all-time high in October 2025, clearing $100,000 well before 2028. The separate claim that price will not fall below $100,000 after 2028 has not yet been tested, since 2028 has not arrived.
Bitcoin Power Law Model Suggests $30K Floor, $1M Potential This Cycle -- CryptoSlate
1 Aug 2024 bullish pending reported target: $1,000,000 (2028-2037)
Projected Bitcoin's power law model puts a $1 million price within reach between 2028 and 2037, with $10 million possible by the mid-2040s.
Timeframe has not arrived yet.
Bitcoin Power Law Model Suggests $30K Floor, $1M Potential This Cycle -- CryptoSlate
2025 bullish partially correct reported target: $210,000 peak, $60,000 trough
Using his power law model, forecast a cycle peak of roughly $210,000 in January 2026, followed by a decline to as low as $60,000 afterward.
The $210,000 January 2026 peak did not happen; Bitcoin was trading near $96,000 in early 2026, well under the model's projected fair value. The subsequent decline toward the $60,000 area did occur.
Bitcoin Power Law 2026: Is the Model Still Holding Up? -- EditorialGe

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