Joe Burnett (@IIICapital) 106K followers
@IIICapital
B
63.4 / 100
Last researched 19 Jul 2026, 23:21 UTC
Joe Burnett exhibits a strong track record of identifying tactical bottoms and local buying opportunities during major market panic events. However, his medium-term predictions are heavily impacted by hyper-bullish confirmation bias, leading to multiple premature bottom declarations and missed price targets. His analytical style relies heavily on technological S-curves, corporate issuance mechanics, and long-term macro liquidity metrics.
Calls found
15
Resolved calls
11
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Calls (15)
I’m beginning to think we’re on the cusp of the largest BTC price squeeze of all time.
No squeeze materialized, and the price remained range-bound around the $65,000–$70,000 levels.
X Post (@IIICapital) cited in CCN
Traders are now bearish that coins are in stronger hands. Illogical... today stands out as an especially auspicious moment [to buy].
Buying the SpaceX-induced panic at $26,000 was highly profitable, preceding a massive multi-month upward trend.
X Post (@IIICapital) cited in Benzinga
$1M BTC is Early — Bitcoin’s Scarcity Leads to Global Abundance
Long-term thesis that remains too early to tell, though it preceded a major 70%+ drawdown over the subsequent 18 months.
Mimesis Capital Research, "$1M BTC is Early — Bitcoin’s Scarcity Leads to Global Abundance"
Claimed US ISM Manufacturing PMI breakout would serve as a major bull run catalyst.
The breakout failed to act as a catalyst, and Bitcoin corrected downward from the mid-$70,000s into the mid-$60,000s.
X Post (@IIICapital) cited in TradingView
Asserted that the absolute mathematical floor of the Bitcoin bear market in 2026 is $61,000 based on a power law regression curve.
The model was already violated, as Bitcoin had traded down to a local low of $57,800 on July 1, 2026, two weeks prior to the post.
X Post (@IIICapital) cited in WEEX Crypto News
It's highly likely that Germany selling 50,000 bitcoin will mark a bottom. Announcing a sale of this size is idiotic and creates a reflexive feedback loop.
The asset marked a local bottom of $53,500 on the day of the call, and rebounded significantly shortly after.
X Post (@IIICapital) cited in Decrypt and Cryptonews
Publicly urged the United States government to acquire 1,000,000 BTC to stabilize and fund the future of the Social Security program.
This was non-actionable policy advocacy rather than a trade call.
Traders Union, "Joe Burnett: U.S. should acquire 1,000,000 BTC for Social Security stability"
Projected that Bitcoin global adoption would hit 10% around the year 2030, and eventually reach 1 billion users.
Long-term adoption projection that is too early to evaluate.
Blockware Intelligence Report, "Bitcoin User Adoption"
Called the macro cycle bottom in the $17,000 region.
Bitcoin bottomed close to $15,500–$16,000 and steadily climbed thereafter, making the $17k call a highly accurate accumulation entry.
@IIICapital on X, quoted via KuCoin Media/Wu Shuo
Claimed to have publicly called the exact cycle top of $126,000 in 2025.
Bitcoin's actual cyclical peak did halt exactly at $126,000 in October 2025.
@IIICapital on X, quoted via KuCoin Media/Wu Shuo
Proposed a base case of $11 million per Bitcoin by the first quarter of 2036 driven by AI deflation and monetary expansion.
Long-term prediction that is too early to evaluate.
Strive Research Publication, cited in CoinMarketCap and Cointelegraph
MSTR is setup for a squeeze because billions of dollars of capital are unknowingly short it for 'yield' (MSTY).
MSTR saw upward momentum and outperformance, but the technical logic was flawed as MSTY does not cause a short squeeze, and no parabolic squeeze materialized.
X Post (@IIICapital) cited in CryptoRank
Because the top was muted, I think the bottom may already be in.
Bitcoin declined a further 50% down to approximately $15,500–$16,000 by November 2022.
Independent Reserve Market Update, "BTC A$44K. Bitcoin in 'value accumulation' trend"
I definitely would not be surprised at all to see $200,000 Bitcoin or $250,000 Bitcoin this year [2025].
The asset peaked at $126,000 in October 2025 and finished the year at $87,508.83, missing his lower boundary of $200k.
Cointelegraph X Spaces / TradingView
Noted massive on-chain supply movements and near-zero Sharpe ratio to signal an imminent accumulation bottom and rally.
Instead of an imminent rally, Bitcoin entered a multi-month period of consolidation and declined to as low as $57,800 by July 2026.
X Post (@IIICapital) cited in ForkLog and Bitbo
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