C
50.0 / 100
Last researched 21 Jul 2026, 16:24 UTC
Jason A. Williams ("The Parabolic Guy"), co-founder of Morgan Creek Digital and author of Bitcoin: Hard Money You Can't F*** With, is known for bold, frequently early or oversized Bitcoin price and timing calls. His specific price and timing targets from 2019 to 2021 (a post-halving "non-event" call, an \$80K 2021 target, an October 2020 all-time-high call, and a \$100K-plus by October 2021 call) all missed, sometimes by a wide margin. His broader 2023 range call for 2024 held up, and a mid-2026 cycle-bottom call remains unresolved. This rating is based on a manually-researched sample rather than the site's usual pipeline and should be treated as provisional.
Calls (6)
3 Dec 2019
neutral
incorrect
reported
Said he believed the May 2020 halving would be a "non-event" for Bitcoin's price, that markets would not move much as a result of it.
Bitcoin rallied from roughly $8,600 at the halving to about $29,000 by end of 2020 and on to a ~$64,000 all-time high by April 2021, far from a non-event.
7 Jan 2020
bullish
incorrect
reported
target: $80,000
Predicted Bitcoin would hit $80,000 by the end of 2021, based on PlanB's stock-to-flow work.
Bitcoin's 2021 cycle topped around $69,000 in November 2021 and never reached $80,000.
Jun 2020
bullish
incorrect
reported
Predicted Bitcoin would rally after the May 2020 halving and reach a new all-time high by September or October 2020.
Bitcoin closed October 2020 at about $13,781, a multi-year high but well short of its prior ~$19,800 all-time high; the actual new ATH did not arrive until early December 2020.
16 Mar 2021
bullish
incorrect
reported
target: $100,000+
Predicted Bitcoin would reach "$100,000 by October 31st" and said he expected to be "way off and low," believing it would go "far beyond $100,000" by that date.
Bitcoin closed October 31, 2021 at $61,443.95, well short of $100,000.
2023
bullish
correct
reported
target: $56,000-$288,000
Predicted Bitcoin would trade between $56,000 and $288,000 by the end of 2024.
Bitcoin closed 2024 at $93,429, within the predicted range.
Jun 2026
bearish
pending
reported
target: $44,488
Predicted Bitcoin's next cycle bottom would land near $44,488, based on how far BTC has historically traded below its realized price at prior cycle lows (2011, 2015, 2018, 2022 all showed diminishing drawdowns), arguing "Bitcoin has NEVER bottomed in a cycle without trading below the Realised Price."
No confirmed cycle bottom has occurred yet as of this research.