Jesse Myers

@Croesus_BTC
A
77.9 / 100
Last researched 21 Jul 2026, 16:44 UTC

Jesse Myers ("Croesus"), Head of Bitcoin Strategy at SmarterWeb and creator of a Bitcoin valuation framework referenced by Michael Saylor, is best known for long-horizon adoption-curve and valuation modeling rather than frequent near-term price calls. His two clearly dated, specific calls found here (a 2023 halving-cycle price range and a 2024 post-halving rally-timing call) both held up. His broader \$1M-\$10M long-run BTC valuation targets carry timeframes too vague ("within decades") to score. This rating is based on a manually-researched sample rather than the site's usual pipeline and should be treated as provisional.

Calls found
2
Resolved calls
2
Accuracy
100
Sample size
36
Verifiability
100
Specificity
50
Consistency
50

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Jesse Myers rating

Calls (2)

May 2023 bullish correct verified target: $120,000-$240,000
In his "Once-in-a-Species" newsletter, argued the April 2024 halving's supply-shock mechanics were guaranteed to work and predicted Bitcoin's price would go to $120,000-$240,000.
Bitcoin reached a $126,296 all-time high in October 2025, inside the low end of the predicted range, though it has since pulled back well below that range.
Apr 2024 bullish correct verified
In an MIT presentation given the day after the April 2024 halving, argued it would take roughly 6 to 12 months after the halving before Bitcoin's price "really starts to run."
Bitcoin was range-bound for much of mid-2024, then began a strong rally starting around November 2024, within the predicted 6 to 12 month post-halving window.

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