Calls (23)
20 Jun 2011
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 0.00
Schiff dismissed Bitcoin entirely during its infancy, asserting it had no future, was not money, and was a passing speculative bubble.
Bitcoin rose from $17.00 to a historic cycle peak of over $126,000 in October 2025, marking an incorrect macro call of over 740,000%.
Reddit Archive / Social Media Timeline
12 Nov 2013
bearish
partially correct
reported
Declared Bitcoin a direct modern equivalent of the Dutch Tulip Mania, arguing it was 'Tulip Mania 2.0' and not 'Gold 2.0.'
Correct that the immediate 2013 run up to $1,000 was a bubble due for a crash, but incorrect that the asset would permanently disappear.
CNBC 'Futures Now' Interview
1 Jan 2014
bearish
incorrect
reported
Asserted Bitcoin did not possess the properties of a store of value and urged the public to sell whatever holdings they had to buy gold.
Although Bitcoin fell short-term, rotating to gold missed out on exponential, long-term capital appreciation over the subsequent decade.
CoinDesk Interview
17 Aug 2017
bearish
incorrect
reported
Doubled down as Bitcoin broke past $4,000, stating: 'The psychology of bubbles fuels it... But it's not going up because it's going to work.'
Missed a massive parabolic short-term run from $4,000 to nearly $20,000 by December 2017.
CNBC/Twitter/X Post
2 Jul 2018
bearish
incorrect
reported
Debated Erik Voorhees, arguing Bitcoin was 'digital fool's gold' and would fail to survive or replace fiat.
While it did not fully replace fiat, Bitcoin gained legal tender status in El Salvador and saw massive Wall Street institutional integration.
The Soho Forum Debate
1 Dec 2018
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 750.00
Publicly advised against buying Bitcoin at $3,800, arguing that even if the asset dropped another 80% to $750, it would still be overvalued.
This period marked the generational bottom of that market cycle around $3,120, avoiding his $750 target entirely.
Social Media / Reddit Crypto Community Archives
21 Aug 2019
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 50000.00
Declared: 'Bitcoin will never hit 50k.'
Bitcoin reached and broke $50,000 on February 16, 2021, forcing Schiff to publicly admit he got it wrong.
Twitter/X Post
8 Nov 2019
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 100000.00
Posted a direct negative price target: 'Keep dreaming. Bitcoin is never going to hit $100,000!'
Bitcoin crossed the historic six-figure mark, hitting $100,000 on December 4, 2024.
Twitter/X Post
19 Jan 2020
bearish
incorrect
reported
Claimed that holding Bitcoin was mathematically a terrible idea because his wallet got corrupted and his password was no longer valid.
It was revealed to be a simple personal user error (forgetting the password and failing to secure the recovery phrase) rather than a protocol failure.
Twitter/X Post and subsequent clarification by @erikvoorhees
16 Feb 2021
bearish
incorrect
reported
Pivoted upon his failed $50k prediction to claim: 'At $50K #Bitcoin is the biggest bubble of them all.'
Bitcoin went on to rise to $69,000 in 2021 and eventually peaked at $126,000 in 2025.
Twitter/X Post
17 Feb 2022
bearish
partially correct
reported
target: 0.00
Claimed 'Bitcoin's candle will soon blow out. Bitcoin HODLers who fail to grasp the change will lose everything!'
Correctly anticipated a severe downward trend in 2022, but incorrect in his claim that holders would lose everything, as the market later recovered.
Twitter/X Post
7 Sep 2022
bearish
incorrect
reported
Urged Bitcoin holders to 'abandon ship before the bottom drops out.'
Urged selling just weeks before the absolute macro bottom of ~$15,500, preceding a massive 2023-2024 bull cycle.
Twitter/X Post & Reddit Thread
17 Jan 2023
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 18000.00
Predicted that the recovery to $21,000 was a trap and that the price would soon plunge back below $18,000.
Bitcoin never fell back below $18,000, rising steadily to break $30,000 by mid-2023.
Twitter/X Post / Media coverage
1 Nov 2023
bearish
incorrect
reported
Predicted that the spot ETF approval would be a major 'buy the rumor, sell the news' event signaling the absolute end of the bull run.
Only correct on a minor 2-week pullback scale; long term, the ETFs served as a historic catalyst for massive inflows pushing prices to new highs.
DigiFinex / Motley Fool
26 Jan 2024
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 0.00
Mocked Bitcoin bulls, stating spot ETFs were merely 'shifting demand' and that the value would ultimately collapse to zero.
The asset did not collapse, instead skyrocketing from $40,000 to a new high of $73,000 by March 2024.
Kitco News / Finbold
4 Dec 2024
bearish
incorrect
reported
Claimed that Bitcoin only hit $100k artificially by 'buying off politicians' and getting in bed with government, insisting a massive collapse was imminent.
A collapse did not materialize; the asset continued its upward trajectory to peak at ~$126,000 in late 2025.
Twitter/X Post
28 Mar 2025
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 10000.00
Predicted that as gold hit record highs, gold's rise would drag Bitcoin down to $10,000.
Bitcoin did not collapse to $10,000 while gold rose; instead, it maintained five-figure levels throughout 2025 and 2026.
CoinGape / Twitter/X
14 Oct 2025
bearish
partially correct
reported
Labeled the new all-time high of $126,000 a 'dead cat bounce' and a 'bear market rally' because it underperformed gold in relative terms since 2021.
Bitcoin did enter a cyclical correction down to $87,000, though calling a nominal all-time high a 'dead cat bounce' is structurally incorrect.
Yahoo Finance / Twitter/X
19 Nov 2025
bearish
partially correct
reported
Declared 'Bitcoin has no future. It's not a good medium of exchange... Don't be last' to exit.
Correctly preceded a drift down to the mid-$60,000s in 2026, but the structural claim that the network has no future remains unsubstantiated.
Twitter/X Post
23 Dec 2025
bearish
pending
reported
Predicted the next four years will be much worse for Bitcoin because it lost purchasing power relative to physical gold since 2021.
Too early to fully grade as of mid-2026, though Bitcoin has experienced a general downward drift in 2026.
Yellow.com
19 Feb 2026
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 20000.00
Warned that breaking below $50,000 looks likely and that it would test $20K, urging followers to 'Sell Bitcoin now!'
The breakdown did not occur; Bitcoin consolidated and bounced back to $75,000 in mid-April 2026.
TradingView / X Post
3 Jun 2026
bearish
incorrect
reported
target: 20000.00
Stated: 'When Bitcoin breaks $50K, it should be a quick fall below $20K.'
Bitcoin fell briefly to $59,000 but quickly recovered to $65,000, failing to break $50,000 or fall to $20,000.
CryptoPotato
15 Jul 2026
bearish
pending
reported
target: 20000.00
Argued anyone refusing to sell now will face immense regret, as a break of $58k will trigger a fast slide to $20,000.
Only four days have passed since the call; the outcome remains active and ungraded.
The Peter Schiff Show / CryptoPotato