Samson Mow 361.8K followers

@Excellion
C
54.3 / 100
Last researched 20 Jul 2026, 02:31 UTC

Samson Mow operates as an extreme Bitcoin maximalist and 'permabull' whose public calls are characterized by aggressive, seven-figure price targets and highly compressed timelines. While his directional bias aligned with the pre-halving breakout in late 2023, he consistently fails to account for downside risks or macroeconomic headwinds, leading to a long string of failed near-term predictions. His public commentary functions more as narrative-driven marketing than objective financial analysis, making his targets highly unreliable for risk management.

Calls found
10
Resolved calls
9
Accuracy
17
Sample size
76
Verifiability
70
Specificity
100
Consistency
100

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Samson Mow rating

Calls (10)

1 Aug 2021 bullish incorrect reported target: $100,000
Predicted that Bitcoin would break and top the $100,000 mark during the 2021 bull cycle.
Bitcoin peaked at approximately $69,000 in November 2021, missing his target by over 30% before entering a multi-year market crash.
CZ Predicts Bitcoin Price To Top at $1M, But BTC Price Predictions Have Rarely Come True
20 Nov 2021 bullish incorrect reported target: $1,000,000
Asserted that Blockstream's financial models projected Bitcoin to reach $1,000,000 within five years (by late 2026).
With the late 2026 window expiring, Bitcoin is trading around $63,400, which is roughly 93% below the projected target.
El Salvador's Volcano Bonds / Here's how El Salvador's president plans to use bitcoin bonds
11 Nov 2023 bullish correct reported target: >$69,000
Predicted that Bitcoin would break its previous all-time high (~$69,000) before the April 2024 halving event.
Bitcoin broke its prior cycle high in March 2024, reaching approximately $73,000 roughly 37 days before the April 2024 halving.
New All-Time Highs For Bitcoin In 2023? Analyst Shares Ultra Bullish Prediction
14 Jan 2024 bullish incorrect reported target: $1,000,000
Claimed that the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs would trigger a supply-demand imbalance pushing Bitcoin to $1,000,000 within 'days or weeks.'
No immediate short squeeze occurred, and the price only reached $126,198 by late 2025.
Bitcoin Bull And CEO Samson Mow Predicts Imminent Supply Shock, Foresees BTC Price Surge To $1M
16 Jul 2024 bullish incorrect reported target: $60,000 floor
Issued a definitive call that Bitcoin would never trade below the $60,000 level again.
The floor was invalidated when the price dropped below $60,000 during a liquidation event on June 25, 2026.
Say goodbye to Bitcoin under $60,000 forever: Samson Mow doubles down on forecast
1 Jan 2025 bullish incorrect reported target: $1,000,000
Stated that Bitcoin would reach $1,000,000 during the year 2025.
Bitcoin peaked at $126,198 in October 2025, falling more than 87% short of his seven-figure target.
Bitcoin to Hit $1 Million in 2025, Samson Mow Predicts
10 Aug 2025 bearish partially correct reported target: unclear
Predicted that Ethereum holders would shortly dump their ETH to rotate profits back into Bitcoin.
Mow correctly identified rotational capital flows as ETH heavily underperformed BTC in late 2025, though his anti-altcoin bias exaggerated the shift as a 'generational dump'.
Samson Mow Predicts Ethereum Investors to Shift Back to Bitcoin as ETH Soars
20 Dec 2025 bullish incorrect reported target: >$65,000
Dismissed a $60,000–$65,000 downside retracement target as mathematically impossible 'fakery.'
Bitcoin proceeded to slide down to the mid-$60,000s in March and breached $60,000 in June 2026.
Tom Lee's Fundstrat Draws Mockery From This Bitcoin Advocate Over $60,000 BTC Prediction
10 Jan 2026 bullish incorrect reported target: $1,330,000
Predicted Bitcoin would reach $1.33 million in 2026, MicroStrategy would hit $5,000, and Elon Musk would buy heavily.
Six months into 2026, Bitcoin has corrected to $63,400, Musk has not bought more, and MicroStrategy has faced paper losses.
Samson Mow tips Elon Musk will 'go hard' into Bitcoin in 2026
28 Jun 2026 bullish pending reported target: unclear
Asserted that the absolute market bottom is in and the traditional four-year halving cycle is completely broken.
It is too early to tell if this is the final bottom, as other macro analysts dispute the call and predict further capitulation in late 2026.
Samson Mow says Bitcoin has already hit its bottom, but analysts remain skeptical

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