A
77.0 / 100
Last researched 19 Jul 2026, 22:52 UTC
Willy Woo is a pioneer of cryptocurrency on-chain analysis whose structural valuation models are highly effective at identifying macro accumulation zones and cycle bottoms. However, his strong permanent-bull bias frequently leads him to miss cycle tops and deny early-stage bear markets. Consequently, while his bottom-buying recommendations have historically been highly profitable, his peak continuation predictions demand extreme skepticism.
Calls (9)
April 2019
bullish
correct
verified
target: $3,100
Declared a '95% to 97.5% probability' that the macro bottom was officially in for Bitcoin, identifying the December 2018 low of ~$3,100 as the definitive cycle floor.
The December 2018 low of ~$3,100 was never breached, even during the March 2020 COVID-19 liquidity crash which only briefly fell to around $3,800–$4,000.
August 2021
bullish
correct
verified
target: $55,000
Introduced his 'Supply Shock' metric and called for a rally back to $55,000 based on aggressive on-chain accumulation.
Bitcoin embarked on a strong relief rally, reclaiming $55,000 in October 2021 and establishing a new all-time high of ~$69,000 in November 2021.
December 2020
bullish
incorrect
verified
target: $200,000 - $300,000
Predicted that Bitcoin would hit $200,000 by the end of 2021, stating that $200k 'now looks conservative' and that the asset could easily soar to $300,000.
Bitcoin peaked in November 2021 at ~$69,000 and closed the year at roughly $46,000, failing to get close to the $200,000 conservative target.
December 2024
bullish
correct
verified
target: $100,000
Argued that Bitcoin blasting past $100,000 was highly likely and that $70,000 would serve as immense support during any subsequent market downturn.
Bitcoin successfully broke past $100,000 to peak at ~$126,198 in late 2025, and the $70,000 support level successfully held for several months during the 2026 correction.
January 2021
bullish
partially correct
reported
Predicted an immediate, aggressive continuation of the bull run, stating that a deep dip many were looking for would not happen until higher levels.
While Bitcoin continued its short-term rally to ~$64,000, his claim that major corrections were off the table was invalidated when the market crashed over 50% down to $29,000 in summer 2021.
January 2022
bullish
incorrect
reported
target: $32,900
Denied Bitcoin had entered a macro bear market, claiming it was in a 're-accumulation phase', asserting the 4-year halving cycles were broken, calling $32,900 the absolute bottom, and predicting a massive late 2022 run.
Bitcoin entered a brutal multi-quarter bear market, obliterating the $32,900 level and bottoming out at ~$15,500 in November 2022.
March 2026
bearish
partially correct
verified
target: $46,000 - $54,000
Warned that the relief bounce to $74,000 was a bull trap within a bear market and predicted a cycle bottom in Q4 2026 falling between $46,000 and $54,000.
The short-term 'bull trap' call was correct as the rally was rejected and the price drifted back down. The macro bottom target of $46,000–$54,000 is still pending as the Q4 2026 window has not yet played out.
October 2024
neutral
correct
verified
Forecasted a delayed all-time high, predicting that October would remain sideways and require more consolidation rather than immediately breaking out.
Bitcoin traded sideways throughout October 2024, and the explosive breakout did not occur until the post-US Election rally in November 2024.
September 21, 2023
bullish
correct
verified
Issued a strong buy call, stating that being at the bottom of the purple and blue MVRV deviation bands historically represented the best, rare opportunity to buy cheap Bitcoin.
This proved to be an incredibly accurate macro accumulation call right before a monumental multi-month bull market commenced.